The cruelest truth of the war is never the outcome of the war, but the reverse of the fate of the nation and the people.
When a war ends and the Iranian regime doesn’t fall, the Israeli government may be the first to fall.
The signs are that Israel is in big trouble.
Or rather, three arrows are being fired at Israel.
The first arrow, Trump’s rage.
During the G-7 summit in France, Trump lashed out at Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.
“Israel doesn’t have to tear down apartment buildings every time they look for someone,” he said. “There are a lot of people in the apartment buildings, and they are not all Hezbollah operatives who can tell you about it.”
He added: “I don’t like Benjamin Netanyahu, because a very small drone strike, an attack — their counterattack was too much — without the United States, without me, there would be no Israel.”
Trump had previously called Netanyahu“Crazy” and said, “I’m furious. I let him know he has no fucking sense.”
There are at least two reasons for Trump’s anger.
He was well aware that he had been duped by Benjamin Netanyahu into a reckless war with Iran that had left the United States and himself in a mess.
He sees more clearly that Israel is sabotaging his efforts to exit the war, and that killing innocent people is also blaming the United States.
But Trump is Trump. Other U.S. presidents may be putting covert pressure on Israel, but he is hurling insults and hitting Israel in the face.
Frankly, this kind of face-off is also very rare in the history of the United States and Israel.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu speaks with President Donald Trump during a dinner in the blue room of the White House in Washington, DC, July 7,2025.
Second Arrow, discontent within Israel.
Trump is pressuring Israel to stop the war, but within Israel, hard-liners are even more critical of Netanyahu’s capitulation to the US.
Now that it has come to this, Israeli hardliners argue, it must go on to remove the Iranian threat once and for all.
Now Israel faces an even more hostile Iran, which has even more leverage over the Strait of Hormuz and the $300 billion in reconstruction funds promised by the United States. What kind of victory is that?
This may be the most depressing war Israel has ever fought.
The real strategic failure is never the loss of troops on the battlefield, but the exhaustion of national strength after the battle, the opponent more powerful, more passive.
As soon as the us-iran deal was reached, I saw an Israeli politician take aim at Netanyahu and rant:
It’s a hard morning for Israel.
This morning, Israeli citizens woke up to an agreement between the United States and Iran that completely ignores Israel’s position.
Under a piece of paper signature, those huge military achievements gained by the courage of the pilots and the blood of the soldiers were all gone in an instant, netanyahu was left to stand by-weak, incompetent, isolated and without influence.
Trump signed a deal that poured billions of dollars into the Ayatollah regime, left the nuclear infrastructure intact, preserved the ballistic missile threat and provided a lifeline to the murderous regime in Tehran.
This is a summary of years of failure. Benjamin Netanyahu, the man who for years sold the false image of Mr. Security to the public, became the father of the greatest strategic failure in Israeli history. He constructed the idea that Hamas was an asset, allowing Qatari money to flow in, abandoning the diplomatic battlefield, dismantling Israel’s alliances and isolating the country at crucial moments.
Benjamin Netanyahu favors Hamas.
Benjamin Netanyahu is good for Iran.
Benjamin Netanyahu is good for Hezbollah.
Netanyahu is bad for Israel.
The man who promised“Total victory” ended his term with Israel’s enemies stronger, Israel weaker, and the deterrent forged in the blood of our soldiers wearing thin before our eyes.
Replacing him isn’t just, a political imperative — it’s an existential security imperative.
What do you mean?
Netanyahu must go. Instead of protecting Israel, he has become a burden and a fetter to it.
The third arrow, the boiling of public opinion around the world.
There was a time when Israel had a good reputation around the world.
In the eyes of many Chinese, at least, the Jews are brilliant, Israel is innovative, and its high-tech prowess is admirable.
Because of the Holocaust, the west is even more full of guilt for Israel, Israel a little more sympathy and tolerance.
But the carnage of recent years has transformed Israel’s international image.
Quite simply, the wrongdoers have their debt, and Israel’s reprisals against Hamas and Hizbullah may be understandable, but the slaughter of civilians has made the world look at Israel in a different light.
In tiny Gaza, more than 70,000 people have died, mostly women and children. is that what a civilised country would do?
Then there’s Lebanon. After the -ISRAELI war broke out, the Israeli army killed more people in Tiny Lebanon than Iran, mostly innocent civilians.
So much so that Trump can’t stand it anymore, and he’s lambasting Israel for killing so many innocent people.
Therefore, we have seen that the international criminal court has resisted the pressure of the United States to arrest Netanyahu, a war criminal.
So, we see, in many university communities in the west, many young people have come out to speak out for the Palestinians, berate the west not to be too hypocritical, not to continue to“Support the massacres.”.
Without the support of the world’s public opinion, there would be no Israel; the complete reversal of public opinion today is Israel’s deepest and deadliest crisis.
The geopolitical game can be balanced by force, and the protection of great powers can be maintained by interests, but the popular sentiment is never reversible and irretrievable.
There is, of course, a fourth arrow for Netanyahu himself.
Despite Trump’s threats, the Israeli president has consistently refused to pardon Netanyahu.
The trial continues, and there is a widely held belief that Netanyahu, who is embroiled in a corruption scandal, would most likely end up in jail if he went through the legal process properly.
One of the core reasons why he frequently waged wars is presumed to be his intention to use his status as“Prime Minister of war” to delay judicial proceedings and avoid the end of his imprisonment.
But a war has also put Israel in the worst geopolitical position it has ever been in, reversing all the machinations.
Finally, what?
Let’s stick with three broad points.
First, people change.
When I was working in Israel more than 20 years ago, I met Benjamin Netanyahu many times. One of my colleagues was his neighbor across the street, and he was a young man who briefly served as prime minister before bowing out.
It’s a beautiful story. As prime minister, he also pushed for reconciliation with the Palestinians and tried to reach a peace deal with Mr. Arafat.
However, after his comeback, he became a radical“Warmonger” because of political game, power politics, situation and other factors!
Now, warmongering, isn’t a one-sided comment, but it comes from a recent interview with Hillary.
Here’s what she said about Netanyahu:
Netanyahu sees war as his friend, and he wants to create conflict to contain the opposition and get the country behind him. But I think the Iran deal could be the final straw for him, and he will be ousted in the upcoming elections.
What does that mean?
Power, after all, amplifies one’s desires and swallows one’s intentions.
Netanyahu started a war that he had planned long ago, even tying the United States to it, but it turned out to be nothing, Iran was not destroyed, and Trump was deeply disappointed, and he himself is about to walk away from a political career.
Second, it is important not to get carried away.
I’m sure Trump is aware of this, too, and has been banging on about Israel recently, even swearing directly at Netanyahu.
There used to be a saying that America couldn’t control Israel.
There may be some truth in this, since the size of the Jewish presence in the US forces American politicians to accommodate and favour Israel. But not absolutely. The key is whether the U.S. is really determined to control and restrain Israel. If the U.S. is serious, Will Israel really defy the U.S. will?
In the case of Netanyahu, we have to say, Trump has a way with Benjamin.
But Will Netanyahu really bend the knee?
Even if he does, he won’t.
So, do not rule out the next, there will be all kinds of black swan events. Israel’s Mossad must be taken seriously; its hardliners are likely to take risks and create uncertainty. Iran accuses Israel of violating the terms of the memorandum more than 80 times since it was signed.
When a man has nowhere to go, he often chooses to drag everyone down with him. Trump also has to be on the defensive-wary of Israel’s slide into an out-of-control destructive force that could derail his grand plan.
Third, there will always be payback.
A war is ending; a regime is falling.
This may be an unintended consequence.
Those who were confident and determined to start the war failed to win the expected victory. Instead, they were mired in the war and suffered from all aspects of the situation. Of course, he will not sit idly by, the future does not rule out all kinds of unexpected extreme events, the situation re-generated waves.
But here’s the irony:
Before the war, the Strait of Hormuz was wide open, and Iran repeatedly pledged not to develop nuclear weapons; after the war, the strait was finally reopened, and Iran remains committed not to develop nuclear weapons.
Oh, and Iran also has strategic leverage to control access to the Strait of Hormuz at any time, unlocking foreign funds frozen by the United States, and securing a massive commitment of $300 billion for reconstruction…
What kind of war is this?
Sometimes, the end of the war, but to return to the starting point, but fell along the way, never come back.