Japanese prime minister“Scramble”, who can win?

“The Liberal Democratic Party has entered the ‘Warring States period’ .”. The Japanese media commented on the upcoming President of the Liberal Democratic Party election.

So far, several people have formally announced their President of the Liberal Democratic Party. The election out of the faction shackles, presenting a complex situation, public opinion that this will be a“Big fight.”.

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Picture: Screenshot of a NHK (NHK) report

01

President election: the Battle for the Premiership

The President of the Liberal Democratic Party election is scheduled to be announced on September 12 and the vote will be counted on September 27.

With a Liberal Democratic Party majority in parliament, it also means whoever wins will lock in the next prime minister.

Japanese media said the election is the LDP exposed the“Black gold” scandal, held for the first time after the presidential election. The 15-day campaign period, also the longest in history, was designed to restore public support by extending the campaign period.

According to voting rules, the first round of voting across Japan, the LDP members and LDP members of the Diet vote for half, more than half of the candidates won. If no one gets more than half of the votes, the two candidates with the most votes go to the second round of voting, which is decided by LDP mps and prefectural branches.

The majority view was that, given the large number of candidates, there was a risk that no majority would be obtained in the first round of balloting or that a second round would be held.

At present, they include Chief Cabinet Secretary Minister Lin Fangzheng, Digital Minister Tar? Kon?, Economic Security Minister Takaichi Zaomiao, former Environment Minister Shinjir? Koizumi, former Economic Security Minister Keiji Kobayashi and former LDP secretary-general Shi Pomao, it was formally declared a contender for the election.

Japanese media described the President of the Liberal Democratic Party election as an unprecedented “Free-for-all”.

02

Hot candidates: three-legged stand

According to a poll released by NHK Media Group NHK this week, Shi, Shinjir? Koizumi and Takashi are the top three President of the Liberal Democratic Party in the question of “Who is best suited to be the next leader?”.

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Picture: Screenshot of a NHK (NHK) report

A number of Japanese opinion polls also showed Shigeru, Shinjir? Koizumi and Takashi as favourites for a new president.

Shigeru, 67, has served as Japan’s defense minister, secretary-general of the Liberal Democratic Party and other positions. It was Ishiba’s fifth challenge to the President of the Liberal Democratic Party throne, which he described as the final battle of his political career.

Despite his popularity in the polls, Ishiba is seen by some as having a weak base in his party that could make it difficult to increase the number of members of Congress.

The Shinjir? Koizumi is seen as a political supernova. The 43-year-old comes from a political family, the Junichiro Koizumi of a former prime minister.

Japanese media pointed out that the Shinjir? Koizumi can become a “Strong competitor”, mainly because of the influence of the Junichiro Koizumi.

Former Japanese Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga has endorsed the Shinjir? Koizumi in a street speech. Kyodo news agency said there were concerns that the new government could fall into “Shinjir? Koizumi” mode, with a lack of experience in senior positions and the backing of Yoshihide Suga.

Takashi, 63, is the seventh official candidate and the first female candidate to become Japan’s first female prime minister.

This is the second time gaoshi ran for president of the party. In 2021, Gaoshi early Miao lost to Fumio Kishida, the current prime minister, and failed to become the party’s leader.

In this election, she and Kobayashi’s support groups overlap, both supporters are conservative-oriented voters, how to expand support for high-market facing the thorny issue.

But even though all three are relatively popular in the polls, their approval ratings are actually below 30 per cent, and neither has a clear margin of victory.

03

The Future: challenges are inevitable

Several analysts said the eventual winner of the election would face a complex set of political and economic challenges.

According to the Tokyo News, political journalist Tadashi Noguchi said mps were not committed to restoring national trust and that no matter who became a President of the Liberal Democratic Party, will only“Accelerate the exodus” from the LDP.

Yamasaki, a professor of political theory at Japan’s Central University, questions the LDP’s system. He said, “The President of the Liberal Democratic Party candidates will have to rely on the LDP in their efforts to become president, and their personal views will be limited and they will eventually move towards the LDP. No matter who becomes president of the party, it is hard to innovate. This is a lack of self-purification within the party.”

The Asahi Shimbun argues that, although a large number of candidates could signal the LDP’s willingness to seek change, it is unlikely to do so. But the real question, it seems, is whether the LDP can disentangle itself from the“Black gold” affair and actually improve the systemic problems that breed such ills.

Party politics that have broken promises to the people, troublesome economic worries, and complex changing situations. … whoever wins the President of the Liberal Democratic Party and may become the next Japanese Prime Minister will face many challenges.

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