![\"1dd965fa9d6ca97df5df6233b543f5c9\"](\"http:\/\/forefrontnews.cn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/1dd965fa9d6ca97df5df6233b543f5c9.png\" "\\"1dd965fa9d6ca97df5df6233b543f5c9\\"")
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Guys, things have changed in Hungary.<\/p>\n
On April 12th, after 16 years in power, Orban conceded defeat. With 53.69% of the vote, Maujer Peter’s Tissa party won 138 seats in the 199-seat parliament, more than the two-thirds majority needed to amend the Constitution.<\/p>\n
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The election, described by the foreign media as\u201cThe most decisive in Europe in recent years\u201d, not only ended the era of Orban’s rule, but also looked like the\u201cUltimate footnote\u201d of the three-way rivalry between the United States, Russia and Europe.<\/p>\n
From henchman to Terminator: Why Did Maojor overthrow the Iron Throne after 16 years?<\/p>\n
The 45-year-old is no stranger to politics.<\/p>\n
In his youth, when he was a key member of Fidesz, Orban was plastered on the wall of his bedroom. The university joined Fidesz, married former Justice Minister Volgo Judit, and served in Hungary’s permanent mission to the European Union.<\/p>\n
In 2024, after a scandal and ideological rupture, he turned to his party. With the precise message of\u201cAnti-corruption + Institutional Reform + return to the mainstream of the European Union\u201d, the opposition was quickly united and the 16-year-old political stronghold of Orban was toppled in two years.<\/p>\n
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Three-way game between us, Russia and Europe: Hungary changes its geopolitical landscape<\/p>\n
This election has never been a\u201cFamily affair\u201d in Hungary, but a microcosm of the trilateral game between the United States, Russia and Europe. The election of Maujol directly changed the geopolitical calculations of the three parties.<\/p>\n
For the EU, this is a real pleasure, having removed Orban as a thorn in its side.<\/p>\n
During Orban’s administration, he repeatedly vetoed the proposals of aid to Ukraine and sanctions against Russia, and repeatedly blocked them on issues such as migration and budget, which greatly reduced the efficiency of EU decision-making.<\/p>\n
After the election of Mao jiaoer, the president of the European Commission von der Leyen bluntly\u201cHungary chose Europe, Europe has always chosen Hungary.\u201d. Translated into English, it means: no need to be bothered by this prickly figure any more.<\/p>\n
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For Russia, this is a heavy blow.<\/p>\n
Orban is Putin’s last\u201cProtector\u201d in the EU. He has repeatedly weakened sanctions against Russia and obstructed aid to Ukraine, giving Russia a key lever for division within the EU.<\/p>\n
After Maujol takes office, there is a high probability that Hungary will return to the mainstream position of the EU along with the mainstream. Russia will lose this\u201cInsider\u201d and its voice in the EU will be greatly reduced, the European security architecture will also be accelerated out of the\u201cHungary-style uncertain obstruction\u201d.<\/p>\n
Hungary, however, depends on Russia for 74 per cent of its gas and 86 per cent of its oil, and Maojor will not be too hard on Moscow, presumably taking a moderate\u201cFollow the crowd\u201d approach.<\/p>\n
For the US, Trump’s\u201cNetwork of European allies\u201d has suffered a setback. The fall of Orban, once the poster boy for Trumpism in Europe, means the rupture of the\u201cTrump-orban axis\u201d.<\/p>\n
While there will be no\u201cFundamental change\u201d in us-hungarian relations, the close co-operation of the past is unsustainable. US plans to build a pro-american foothold in central and Eastern Europe have been thwarted, further opening up rifts in the transatlantic alliance.<\/p>\n
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Relations with China: from\u201cPrivileged access\u201d to\u201cPragmatic economy and trade\u201d, farewell to Orban Dividend<\/p>\n
The direction of sino-hungarian relations is one of the most concerned issues outside China.<\/p>\n
In the Orban era, Hungary was China’s ‘Special Partner’ in the European Union — not only the first European country to sign the belt and Road Initiative, but also a ‘bridgehead’ for Chinese investment in Europe.<\/p>\n
BYD, Ningde times and other enterprises landing, plus Orban in the EU for China\u201cBlock Gun\u201d, forming a unique\u201cOrban dividend.<\/p>\n
But Tissa made clear it would no longer be\u201cOver-reliant on battery investment from a single country\u201d, arguing that co-operation with China\u201cCan not be made fragile\u201d. A return to normal business scrutiny under EU rules-including labour standards, environmental assessments and competition neutrality.<\/p>\n
He has called the bet on Chinese and South Korean battery makers\u201cWrong\u201d and said international contracts require\u201cPragmatic negotiations\u201d. That means Chinese projects will face greater compliance scrutiny.<\/p>\n
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Mao’s presidency is fraught with perils: winning an election doesn’t guarantee stability<\/p>\n
Don’t Clap Your Hands. There are three big potholes in front of him. Winning the election is just the beginning. Maojoor now holds 138 seats, seemingly unlimited scenery, but in fact underfoot at any time may explode three landmines.<\/p>\n
The first pit: Where does the money come from?<\/p>\n
Tissa campaigned on a long list of promises: Tax Cuts, welfare increases, an end to corruption, an end to energy dependence. What doesn’t cost money?<\/p>\n
The problem is that the \u20ac22bn in EU solidarity and \u20ac5.8 bn in EU recovery funds will have to be unfrozen before judicial reform and anti-corruption legislation can be completed.<\/p>\n
The process will take at least a year or two. Who will fill the gap? How long will the public’s patience last if promises are not kept?<\/p>\n
The second pit: Fidesz’s immortality.<\/p>\n
Orban lost the election, but Fidesz still controls a majority in the Constitutional Court, a network of local municipalities, a pro-government media empire and a number of key positions in state-owned companies.<\/p>\n
To\u201cDismantle the system\u201d would be to move the cheese of these people. Will they cooperate?<\/p>\n
Orban is no joke when he says, \u201cWe will never give up, never, never, never.\u201d. He could be back in 2026 for local elections and 2027 for the presidency.<\/p>\n
Third Pit: what the EU wants, Maujour can’t Give.<\/p>\n
Brussels now has high hopes that Hungary will become a\u201cModel student\u201d on issues such as immigration, LGBTQ and the independence of the judiciary.<\/p>\n
But his base is ethnically conservative and he is unlikely to accept radical policies such as mandatory refugee quotas. In the future, the conflict between Hungary and Europe will change from\u201cPolitical veto\u201d to\u201cValue friction\u201d, but the intensity will be reduced, and the tension will be long-term.<\/p>\n
Hungary’s upheaval is, to put it bluntly, a return of the political pendulum in central and Eastern europe-from Orban’s Challenger model back to Maujer’s conformist model.<\/p>\n
But far from being a stable equilibrium, it has entered a period of\u201cManageable chaos\u201d. The country will have to digest 16 years of accumulated problems at home and walk a tightrope between the US, Europe, Russia and China.<\/p>\n
For China, the most rational strategy is a pragmatic response: in the short term to prepare for Hungary’s renegotiation of bilateral projects;<\/p>\n
In the long term, we should see if Maojol can stay in power and gradually adjust our cooperation strategy.<\/p>\n
After all, in central and Eastern Europe, there are no permanent friends, only permanent geographical location and energy pipelines. Only with constant pragmatism can we hold on to the fundamentals of china-hungary cooperation.<\/p>\n
The\u201cSino-hungarian special relationship\u201d of the Orban era was essentially a political marriage based on personal calculations-orban needed Chinese investment to hedge EU pressure, china needed Hungary as an\u201cInside man\u201d to leverage the EU.<\/p>\n
Now that Mao is in power, China is being reminded that it is better to learn to play chess within EU rules in central and Eastern Europe than to bet on a certain\u201cBest friend\u201d.<\/p>\n
Homepage image from the Internet<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Guys, things have changed in Hungary. On April 12th, after 16 years in power, Orban conceded defeat. With 53.69% of the vote, Maujer Peter’s Tissa party won 138 seats… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":8520,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6,267],"tags":[4667,4669,4668],"views":40,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/forefrontnews.cn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8519"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/forefrontnews.cn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/forefrontnews.cn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/forefrontnews.cn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/forefrontnews.cn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=8519"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/forefrontnews.cn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8519\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8521,"href":"http:\/\/forefrontnews.cn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8519\/revisions\/8521"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/forefrontnews.cn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/8520"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/forefrontnews.cn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=8519"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/forefrontnews.cn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=8519"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/forefrontnews.cn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=8519"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}